BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

W Illinois

Class: 1 Class Rank: 359 Overall: (5-26) Overall Strength =    2.68
Conference: Summit Record: (1-1) | District: 1-02 Record: (2-25)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Away    L   *  17.36  75  80    1 272 (16-16) Radford                13.15    -18.15                      
 2 11-07-2025 Away    L      28.62  58  77    1  24 (24-13) Iowa                   24.41 *  -43.41                      
 3 11-11-2025 Away    L   *   0.58  58  74    1 325 ( 8-24) CS Bakersfield         -3.63    -12.37                      
 4 11-14-2025 Away    L   *  22.75  59  69    1 111 (25- 9) Cal Baptist            18.54 *  -28.54                      
 5 11-17-2025 Home    W      -7.47  74  63   ZZ 197 ( 0- 2) Coe                   -11.68     22.68                      
 6 11-21-2025 Home    L   *  -2.00  64  84    1 249 (19-13) Coastal Car            -6.21    -13.79                      
 7 11-23-2025 Home    L * *   7.33  69  78    1 280 (18-17) North Dakota            3.12    -12.12                      
 8 11-30-2025 Home    W       0.12  89  73   ZZ 170 ( 0- 2) St Ambrose             -4.09     20.09                      
 9 12-02-2025 Away    L   * -22.83  57 108    1 177 (14-20) Drake                 -27.04    -23.96                      
10 12-06-2025 Home    W       4.21  78  47   ZZ 271 ( 0- 1) Hannibal-Lagr          -0.00 *   31.00                      
11 12-13-2025 Away    W * *  24.73  69  66 1  1 280 (18-17) North Dakota           20.52    -17.52                      
12 12-18-2025 Away    L   *   5.71  76  92    1 266 (18-15) Lindenwood              1.50    -17.50                      
13 12-22-2025 Home    L   *  12.32  61  66    1 274 (20-13) SIUE                    8.11    -13.11                      
14 01-01-2026 Away    L   *  17.49  60  67    1 229 (22-11) TN Martin              13.28    -20.28                      
15 01-03-2026 Away    L   *   0.76  50  73    1 237 (20-13) SE Missouri St         -3.45    -19.55                      
16 01-08-2026 Home    L   *  -1.74  68  90    1 200 (23-10) Tennessee St           -5.95    -16.05                      
17 01-10-2026 Home    L   *   7.31  54  59    1 304 (13-18) Tennessee Tech          3.10     -8.10                      
18 01-13-2026 Away    L   *  15.17  55  57    1 318 (13-20) E Illinois             10.96    -12.96                      
19 01-17-2026 Away    L   *  11.37  79  86    1 309 (12-20) Ark Little Rock         7.16    -14.16                      
20 01-22-2026 Away    L   *  14.88  66  71    1 292 (20-13) Morehead St            10.67    -15.67                      
21 01-23-2026 Away    L   * -17.41  64  96    1 338 ( 7-23) Southern Indiana      -21.62    -10.38                      
22 01-29-2026 Home    L   *  14.36  74  78    1 237 (20-13) SE Missouri St         10.15    -14.15                      
23 01-31-2026 Home    L   * -20.91  44  84    1 229 (22-11) TN Martin             -25.12    -14.88                      
24 02-05-2026 Away    L   *  -7.28  72  97    1 304 (13-18) Tennessee Tech        -11.49    -13.51                      
25 02-07-2026 Away    L   *  -1.33  56  83    1 200 (23-10) Tennessee St           -5.54    -21.46                      
26 02-10-2026 Home    W   *  20.77  79  70    1 318 (13-20) E Illinois             16.56     -7.56                      
27 02-12-2026 Home    L   *  -6.03  58  77    1 309 (12-20) Ark Little Rock       -10.24     -8.76                      
28 02-19-2026 Home    L   *   2.18  70  77    1 338 ( 7-23) Southern Indiana       -2.03     -4.97                      
29 02-21-2026 Home    L   *  -7.53  59  81    1 292 (20-13) Morehead St           -11.74    -10.26                      
30 02-26-2026 Away    L   *   2.73  47  67    1 274 (20-13) SIUE                   -1.48    -18.52                      
31 02-28-2026 Home    L   *  -5.70  69  91    1 266 (18-15) Lindenwood             -9.91    -12.09                      
      Averages               4.21  64.9 76.8

Best game:   28.62 = 19 point loss to Iowa
Worst game: -22.83 = 51 point loss to Drake
Team stdev:  12.98